Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.246362 3.346653e-01 0.438376 0.567152 0.720719 0.896015 1.109217
2026-01-11 0.123383 2.202932e-01 0.354797 0.545620 0.799866 1.117829 1.535994
2026-01-18 0.060213 1.482490e-01 0.294493 0.530100 0.875703 1.340839 1.989838
2026-01-25 0.029744 1.058113e-01 0.257940 0.533315 0.971321 1.596073 2.507582
2026-02-01 0.011910 6.995390e-02 0.214808 0.511318 1.021670 1.789703 2.955554
2026-02-08 0.005497 5.421964e-02 0.202051 0.535336 1.143125 2.092768 3.573578
2026-02-15 0.001836 3.886092e-02 0.180985 0.536624 1.224398 2.339193 4.122692
2026-02-22 0.000742 3.298127e-02 0.181108 0.579652 1.380861 2.710395 4.871940
2026-03-01 0.000181 2.627632e-02 0.174308 0.605222 1.507132 3.039874 5.572160
2026-03-08 0.000010 1.921901e-02 0.160524 0.610519 1.594638 3.309952 6.191845
2026-03-15 NaN 1.276785e-02 0.142074 0.598566 1.645842 3.520888 6.726780
2026-03-22 NaN 9.362759e-03 0.133660 0.610055 1.743518 3.813682 7.398751
2026-03-29 NaN 6.247748e-03 0.122227 0.611031 1.821847 4.081474 8.048505
2026-04-05 NaN 3.404208e-03 0.105148 0.589421 1.849399 4.261743 8.565171
2026-04-12 NaN 1.747743e-03 0.091559 0.573577 1.886743 4.460326 9.117836
2026-04-19 NaN 9.787877e-04 0.084406 0.577261 1.968082 4.741908 9.815390
2026-04-26 NaN 3.407470e-04 0.071545 0.554128 1.983346 4.901331 10.314043
2026-05-03 NaN 2.063508e-04 0.070851 0.579622 2.117835 5.289387 11.206918
2026-05-10 NaN 6.942428e-05 0.065023 0.581023 2.192723 5.566999 11.919774
2026-05-17 NaN 5.492853e-05 0.068683 0.626540 2.382088 6.070352 13.028465
2026-05-24 NaN 2.547065e-05 0.068388 0.653563 2.526085 6.490556 14.003511
2026-05-31 NaN 3.845294e-06 0.063949 0.659162 2.615190 6.807124 14.807422
2026-06-07 NaN 7.247868e-12 0.056574 0.646542 2.655001 7.028173 15.451000